A measurable entity that is available at the start of a process being observed and the value of which can be changed as required; generally represented on the x-axis in a graph. B. Average people will harm others if told to do so by an authority figure. Psychology is a social science discipline. Normally scientists can trace meteorites back to comets and asteroids, debris left over from the formation of the solar system 4.6 billion years ago. The scolding and praise are no better than a fifth wheel in the argument, since the outcome is highly probable anyway. a. with the intent to harm physically. the operation of the whole mind rather than the individual parts. More subtle examples are easy to find. The argument concludes with the assertion of the explanation. We can also ask the same of singular explanations, although one way of asking it of singular explanations is to ask whether this sort of thing is known to have happened before and whether it occurs more frequently than the alternative explanations. b. Halley was especially interested in a comet he had observed in 1682. a. with the intent to harm physically. Astrology is reliable. Science85. Deduce what? said he, petulantly. WebThe hypothesis is consistent with new data and investigations used to test its predictions. Webe. The International Society of Sport Psychology developed a position paper on aggression in sport. Second, its explicit premisethis water boiled quicklyis the observable outcome of the explanation. Step 5. Signs that an Argument Is Explanatory Rather than Fallacy of Affirming the Consequent. For both general and singular explanations, ask whether this sort of explanation makes sensethat is, whether there is a satisfactory conceptual framework for it and whether it is more satisfactory than the alternatives. As with our other inductive arguments, the total evidence condition for logical success has two parts. We make our observations when we can and we fashion our explanations when they occur to us, and the same principles of evaluation apply regardless of which comes first. b. The train of reasoning ran, Here is a gentleman of a medical type, but with the air of a military man. WebWhich of the following statements is true of an explanatory hypothesis? This interlocks with the test, under the preceding improbable-outcome criterion, of asking whether an explanation for the outcome already exists. I saw the sagebrush and the grass wiggling and starting to shake, and I thought, Earthquake.. Web1) Direct observation of phenomena, empirically testable hypotheses, and the ability to rule out rival hypotheses are all essential tenets of the ________. Suppose your friend, having slept in the car during the trip and being unaware of the altitude, argues, Hey, this water boiled quickly, so we must be well above sea level. This is an explanatory argument, and the conclusion bears no resemblance to the premise. Examples of this abound, even in some of the most widely accepted explanatory theories. In the steps of the scientific method, what is the process where a scientist writes down tentative explanations or statements about what he/she expects might happen under certain conditions? Shes still really a kittenin fact, shes so small I had to seal up the holes in the garage wall to be sure she didnt slip out and get lostbut she really did the job. Explanatory Impotence Explanatory impotence is the opposite of explanatory power. We do know, however, that deception of this sort happensthat there are entertainers who work very hard at producing illusions like this, and they can make a lot of honest money at it. According to the given data. The researchers suggest that the ticket-happy cops may simply be suffering from loss of sleep, which has been shown to increase irritability and aggressiveness. Suppose I tell you that I had a dream last night that I ran into a childhood acquaintance whom I had not seen for 30 yearsand that I then ran into him this morning? An explanatory argument contends that certain facts can best be explained by a certain theory, and thus that the theory must be true. Well, Abby, this should clear up the mystery of MY missing pipe. a. how to be rough and tough without getting thrown out of the game. We reviewed their content and use your feedback to keep the quality high. Even across the street I could see a great blue anchor tattooed on the back of the fellows hand. The sentence A comet with an orbit similar to the 1530 and 1606 comets will appear in December 1758 is the observable outcome, that which the explanation enables us to predict and to better understand. In 1695, Edmund Halley began to ponder whether Newtons account of celestial mechanics was correct and, in particular, whether it applied to the motion of comets. Which of the following is (are) NOT among criteria for judging aggression? 1 Definitions In this instrument: chronic renal failure means: (a) having a glomerular filtration rate of less than 15 mL/min/1.73 m 2 for a period of at least 3 months; or (b) a need for renal replacement therapy (dialysis or transplantation) for treatment of complications of decreased glomerular filtration rate How often do people call an expensive plumber over a faulty shower nozzle when it could be easily unscrewed and replaced with a $5 part? The funds that fail are closed, and the manager of the one that succeeds is advertised widely. - Tend to be broad. A colleague visited several Washington-area bookstores and slipped a small note into about 70 books . The deception explanation should often be considered, but it is subject to the same high standards that apply to any other explanatory argument. Explanatory/ Causal /Bivariate Hypothesis. Exploratory research is defined as a research used to investigate a problem which is not clearly defined. Want to create or adapt books like this? And in the larger world, organisms themselves are organized into many levels: populations, communities, and ecosystems within the biosphere. It takes the same form as the fallacy of affirming the consequent, but the two are easy to distinguish; an explanatory argument, unlike the deductive fallacy, depends not only on form, but also on the total evidence, for logical support. This is the place to ask about coincidence as an alternative explanation. This makes good sense. I found a Thai restaurant and now I go there for lunch every day. Punishing student pilots when they perform poorly is followed by improved performance more often than rewarding them when they perform well. Scientists initially were properly skeptical of the theory that they came from the sky, but the development of an account of how meteorites were jettisoned by asteroids and comets provided a conceptual framework that made sense, with the prior probability of the explanation rising accordingly. Young women purchase fewer meats than women who are 35 years of age or older. The university acted as its own contractor, and construction was pushed forward regardless of weather conditions. The plumber says he went to a house, while the man says he lives in an apartment; how often does someone make that sort of mistake? In ancient Greece, when there was a difficult decision to be made, the wealthy Greeks would sometimes travel to Delphi and consult the oracle therean oracle who, it was believed, had special powers to foresee the future. a. aggressive behavior and media violence. There are still people who, remarkably, claim that all of the evidence for the Holocaust is better explained as a hoax. The meteorites Martian roots will probably be debated until scientists agree on just how a piece of the planet could have been ejected with enough speed without vaporizing. ], There are extremes in beak sizes on Galapagos finches, there is no relevant difference in food from island to island, and in conditions, What prehistoric culture created the huge and magnificent likeness of George Bernard Shaw that is topographically sculpted on the southern tip of an island in the Leaf River in northern Quebec? Ask whether an explanation for the outcome already exists. A theory predicts events in a broad, general context; a hypothesis makes a specific prediction about a specified set of circumstances. Statistics and Probability questions and answers, Which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis? If you were to design an experiment to test whether a particular pathogen caused a disease, which of the following choices would be the first step and which the last step you would make if you followed the scientific method precisely? b. WebA hypothesis (plural hypotheses) is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon. In a randomized, controlled, double-blind study: Neither the experimenter nor the subject know whether the subject is in a control group or an experimental group. Psychoanalytic theory focuses on ________ and early childhood experiences. The survivors were the finches with beaks closest to either of the two extremesa demonstration of how competition eliminates intermediate beaks and forces each species to specialize in seeds of one size. People in the South tend to rate the President more favorably than do people in the North Real estate investment trusts (REITs) experienced a record level of profitability in 2004. OK, so shes not admitting to anything, but the next day when I went to get the pipe, it wasnt where I had put it! A steady, respectable, middle-aged man, too, on the face of himall facts which led me to believe that he had been a sergeant. Wonderful! I ejaculated. Our natural tendency to look for outcomes that support our preferred explanation rather than those that might also falsify the alternatives. Which Shakespearean sonnet is the most beautiful? Young women purchase fewer meats than women who are 35 years of age or older. Argument doesnt seem to depend on form alone. In a window on one side was a burning Molotov cocktail. There was no control group with which to compare his patients who received the treatment. Thirty of the 40 who died were men and, says Grayson, most of the male deaths occurred before that of a single woman. Never have. In the study of personality, the ________ model includes dimensions of conscientiousness, agreeableness, neuroticism, openness, and extroversion. It was a tiny dent, no larger than a nickel, on the main frame of one motorcycle moving along an assembly line that produces about 175 such vehicles every day. For the Greek might count anything as grave misfortune, from a financial reversal to the death of an aged parent. Lucy wants to study changes in cognitive skills, moral reasoning, and social behavior across the lifespan. Pascal, due to his own bad health, persuaded his brother-in-law, Perier, to carry a crude barometer up the Puy-de-Dome in the south of France, taking measurements as he went. What is the MOST IMPORTANT flaw in this investigation? William James was the ________. One method that is commonly used in this process is to compare the effects of a drug to that of a neutral placebo in double-blind tests. Second part: Reasonably high prior probability for the explanation; the causal mechanismnatural selectionis fairly well understood, and no alternate seems more likely. e. instrumental-reactive aggression theory, According to more recent research by Anderson and Bushman, aggression ranging from instrumental to reactive should be viewed The line on the chart, I argue, does pass through the six plotted points but otherwise zigzags wildly, say, as follows. , Why is Tylenol the pain reliever hospitals use most? The ads imply that its better than other brands. Weban explanatory hypothesis for a natural phenomenon that is exceptionally well supported by empirical data. First American psychologist. Which of the following is NOT a useful step in resolving peer conflict (especially in teenagers) in a nonviolent way? The proposed explanation for a phenomenon is BEST described as: Which of the following questions CANNOT be answered by the scientific method? c. with the intent to harm psychologically. Women are built for giving birth, and the long haul that involves. , Scientists at the University of Manchester have discovered a distant planet where virtually no one would have expected it to be, orbiting a pulsar star, PSR1829, which was born during a supernova. Aggression has been defined as which of the following? B. Ive really slimmed down. But you can still ask whether such explanations make sense, and whether they make more sense than the alternative explanations. d. a and b. e. a and c. b. in the quest of some nonaggressive goal. Here is one of the classic exchanges:[4], Dear Abby: Im a traveling man whos on the road five days a week. B. e. a and b. e. a and b. e. a and b. e. and. This is the opposite of explanatory power and b. e. a and b. e. a and b. e. a b.. 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And early childhood experiences remarkably, claim that all of the following many levels:,., neuroticism, openness, and ecosystems within the biosphere group with which to his! Most IMPORTANT flaw in this investigation meats than women who are 35 years of age or older is better as. Are ) NOT among criteria for judging aggression even in some of the explanation but you can still whether... Fallacy of Affirming the Consequent the intent to harm physically prediction about specified! A natural phenomenon that is exceptionally well supported by empirical data the to... One that succeeds is advertised widely side was a burning Molotov cocktail I a. Explanatory rather than Fallacy of Affirming the Consequent to compare his patients who received the treatment: of! Window on one side was a burning Molotov cocktail hypothesis makes a specific about. 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